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Affle (India) IPO review (Subscribe for Long Term)

Review By Dilip Davda on Jul 24, 2019

  • AFL has preferred for India listing for its operations from the domestic region.
  • It is a global technology business company providing consumer platform for B2C
  • With proven technology, it is posting growth in its business across the globe.
  • First mover in the segment with no listed peers.

ABOUT THE COMPANY

Affle (India) Ltd. (AIL) is a global technology business company. It has two business segments: Consumer Platform; and Enterprise Platform. Consumer Platform primarily provides the services i.e. (1) new consumer conversions acquisitions, engagements and transactions) through relevant mobile advertising; (2) retargeting existing consumers to complete transactions for e-commerce companies through relevant mobile advertising; and (3) an online to offline ("O2O") platform that converts online consumer engagement into in-store walk-ins. AIL's Enterprise Platform primarily provides end-to-end solutions for enterprises to enhance their engagement with mobile users.


Company's Consumer Platform comprises the followings:

  • "Affle" branded consumer intelligence platform that delivers consumer acquisitions, engagements and transactions through relevant mobile advertising (the "Affle Consumer Platform")
  • "RevX" branded mobile-only self-serve programmatic platform that delivers consumer acquisitions, engagements and transactions through relevant mobile advertising (the "RevX Platform")
  • "Vizury" branded retargeting media business for e-commerce companies and push notifications offerings for e-commerce companies on a software as a service model (the "Vizury Commerce Business") And
  • "Shoffr" branded online to the offline platform that converts online consumer engagement into in-store Walk-ins and transactions.

 

affle ipo review

 

As of March 31, 2019, company's Affle Consumer Platform had approximately 2.02 billion consumer profiles, of which approximately 571 million were in India, 582 million were in Other Emerging Markets (which comprises Southeast Asia, the Middle East, Africa and others) and 867 million were in Developed Markets (which comprises North America, Europe, Japan, Korea and Australia). During Fiscal 2019, AIL's Affle Consumer Platform accumulated over 300 billion data points, which power its prediction and recommendation algorithm for Affle Consumer Platform. The company is in the process of integrating the consumer profiles and the related consumer data points of the Vizury Commerce Business, the RevX Platform and the Shoffr Platform with Affle Consumer Platform.

AIL's Consumer Platform is used by business to consumer ("B2C") companies across industries, including e-commerce, fin-tech, telecom, media, retail and FMCG companies, both directly and indirectly through their advertising agencies. For Fiscal 2019 on a Proforma basis, the company's revenue from Consumer Platform contributed 97.2% of revenue from contracts with customers. For Fiscal 2019 on a consolidated basis, revenue from Consumer Platform contributed 97.0% of revenue from contracts with customers. AIL primarily earn revenues from Consumer Platform on a cost per converted user ("CPCU") basis, which comprises user conversions based on consumer acquisition and transaction models.

The company also earns revenue from its Consumer Platform through awareness and engagement type advertising, which comprises cost per thousand impressions ("CPM"), cost per view ("CPV") and cost per click ("CPC") models. AIL also provides end-to-end solutions for enterprises to enhance their engagement with mobile users, such as developing Apps, enabling offline to online commerce for offline businesses with e-commerce aspirations and providing enterprise-grade data analytics for online and offline companies (collectively, the "Enterprise Platform"). AIL is working on an asset-light business model having ample scope of scalability going forward.

As at May 31, 2019, it had 236 full-time employees across our six offices located in Gurugram (India), Mumbai (India), Bengaluru (India), Singapore, Jakarta (Indonesia) and Dubai (UAE). The company has three registered patents in the United States with multiple patent claims in areas of advertising via data communication clients, online search system, method and computer programme and method and system for extending the use and/or application of the messaging system.

AIL is targeting today's tech-savvy younger generation that prefers mobile marketing. According to management, over the periods, it has developed a technology that is almost full proof of any malware/spam apps and also takes care of safety and security.

ISSUE DETAILS/CAPITAL HISTORY

To part finance its working capital and general corpus fund needs and listing benefits, AIL is coming out with a maiden IPO of approx. xxx shares via book building issue. It has fixed the price band of Rs. 740-745 per share and mulls mobilization of Rs. 459 crore on the basis of the higher price band. The issue opens for subscription on 29.07.19 and will close on 31.07.19. For Anchor Investors, the issue is open only for a day i.e. 26.07.19. Minimum application is to be made for 20 shares and in multiples thereon, thereafter. Post allotment, shares will be listed on BSE and NSE. AIL has allocated 75% for QIBs (including Anchor Investors), 15% for HNIs and 10% for retail investors. It is a combo offer of primary as well as a secondary issue. AIL is issuing approximately 1208060 fresh equity shares (at the upper price band) to mobilize Rs. 90 cr. Existing stakeholders are offloading 4953020 shares under offer for sale. Thus the total size of the issue will be Rs. 459 cr. and the shares to be issued at the upper price band will be 6161080 shares (approx). Issue constitutes 24.16% of the post issue paid-up capital of the company.

The issue is jointly lead managed by ICICI Securities Ltd. and Nomura Financial Advisory & Securities (India) Pvt. Ltd. while Karvy Fintech Pvt. Ltd. is the registrar to the issue.

Since inception till March 2015, AIL issued entire equity at par. In February 2017 it issued further equity under Scheme 2017 at mutually agreed consideration. The average cost of acquisition of shares by the selling stakeholders is Rs. 11.43 per share. AIL promoters have sold 285214 shares at Rs. 711.20 per shares to Malabar Value Fund and 1616214 shares at Rs. 720.51 per share to Malabar India Fund Ltd. in July 2018. Post issue, AIL's current paid-up equity capital of Rs. 24.29 cr. will stand enhanced to Rs. 25.5 cr.

Affle Holding, the Singapore headquartered parent entity is holding sizeable stake in the company with other equity partners i.e. Microsoft, D2C, Itochu, Centurion Investment Management and Bennett Coleman & Co. Ltd. Post issue along with Malabar group, their combined shareholding will be around 75%.

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

On the financial performance front, the company has realigned its global and Indian business and hence the financial data is stated on a proforma basis. As per the proforma consolidated financial statement, it has reported a net profit of Rs. 51.79 cr. on a turnover of Rs. 269.40 cr. For the fiscal ended on 31.03.19, on a consolidated basis, it has earned a net profit of Rs. 48.82 cr. on a turnover of Rs. 249.79 cr. and on a standalone basis, it has posted turnover /net profits of Rs. 121.45 cr. / Rs. 16.68 cr. (FY19), Rs. 84.88 cr. / Rs. 8.83 cr. (FY18) and Rs. 66.80 cr. / Rs. 0.33 cr. (FY17).

For the last three fiscals, on a standalone basis, AIL has posted an average EPS of Rs. 4.67 and an average RoNW of 28%. On a standalone basis, AIL has posted 32.4% CAGR in revenues and 311% CAGR in EBITDA for last three fiscals.

The issue is priced at a P/BV of 39.11 on the basis of unconsolidated NAV of Rs. 19.05 as on 31.03.19 and at a P/BV of 25 on the basis of consolidated NAV of Rs. 29.81 as on 31.03.19. If we attribute FY19 standalone earnings on fully diluted equity post issue, then the issue is priced at a P/E of around 114 and on consolidated earnings, it is priced at a P/E of around 39 and on the proforma basis, it comes to 36.7 P/E. Thus prima facie, the issue is fully priced.

COMPARISION WITH LISTED PEERS

As per offer documents, AIL has no listed peers to compare with.

MERCHANT BANKER'S TRACK RECORDS

Two BRLMs associated with the offer have handled 21 public issues in the three financial years (including the ongoing one), out of which 6 closed below the issue price on listing date.


Conclusion / Investment Strategy

AIL is having a unique business model and has no listed peers to compare with. Its revenue includes nearly 70% global business and the rest from domestic markets. Considering its long term relations with renowned global and domestic clients and the ongoing business, management is confident of improving upon its performance going forward. Being the first mover in the segment, it might create a fancy post listing. AIL runs the asset-light business model with debt-free status. Investors may consider moderate investment for the long term.

Reviewer recommends Subscribing to the issue for Long Term.

Review By Dilip Davda on Jul 24, 2019

Review Author

DISCLAIMER: No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor prior to making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any reader taking decisions based on any information published here does so entirely at own risk. Investors should bear in mind that any investment in stock markets are subject to unpredictable market related risks. Above information is based on RHP and other documents available as of date coupled with market perception. Author has no plans to invest in this offer.

(SEBI registered Research Analyst-Mumbai).


About Dilip Davda

Dilip Davda, a freelance journalist

Dilip Davda is veteran journalist associated with stock market since 1978. He is contributing to print and electronic media on stock markets/insurance/finance since 1985.

Dilip Davda is a leading reviewer of public issues and NCDs in the primary stock market in India. The knowledge he gained over 3 decades while working in the stock market and a strong relationship with popular lead managers makes his reviews unique. His detail fundamental and financial analysis of companies coming up with IPO helps investors in the primary stock market. Dilip Davda has a special interest in analyzing the SME companies and writing reviews about their public issues. His reviews are regularly published online and in news papers.

Email: dilip_davda@rediffmail.com

The Affle IPO Analysis helps you to understand about the company, offer detail, valuation, capital structure and financial performance. Our SEBI registered IPO Analysts tells you if Affle IPO worth investing. The Affle IPO Note sets the IPO expectations in systematic way which tells you if Affle IPO good to buy (good or bad / yes or no). The IPO Forecast tells you weather to invest in Affle IPO by providing IPO recommendations i.e. subscribe, avoid and neutral.


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