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Bharat Dynamic IPO review (Subscribe for Long Term)

Review By Dilip Davda on Mar 7, 2018

Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (BDL) is one of the leading defense PSUs in India engaged in the manufacture of Surface to Air missiles (SAMs), Anti-Tank Guided Missiles (ATGMs), underwater weapons, launchers, countermeasures and test equipment. It is the sole manufacturer in India for SAMs, torpedoes, ATGMs and also the sole supplier of SAMs and ATGMs to the Indian armed forces. Additionally, it is also engaged in the business of refurbishment and life extension of missiles manufactured. BDL is also the co-development partner with the DRDO for the next generation of ATGMs and SAMs. It currently has three manufacturing facilities located in Hyderabad, Bhanur and Vishakhapatnam. BDL enjoys Mini Ratna (Category – 1) status.

Off late Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) rates have increased in sectors like defense, insurance and other sectors.  Under the ambit of the ‘Make in India’ initiative, investment procedure, license applications, declarations and other processes has been streamlined to boost investor confidence. Applications for permits have been digitized and a new uniform tax regime (Goods & Services Tax) has been implemented to reduce complexity in taxation. The nation also has a vibrant micro, medium and small enterprise (MSME) sector to support manufacturing units set up in India. The MSME sector is expected to perform a vital support function to the manufacturing sector and will be crucial to India’s agenda to raise the share of manufacturing in India’s GDP from 16% to 25% by the end of 2025. The central government as well as state governments are also trying to incentivize domestic and foreign players to ramp up defense manufacturing in India through a combination of tax benefits, infrastructure incentives, and other methods. The Indian defense market is in a state of transition, as a result of new policies promulgated by the government. BDL is in the process of setting up to new plants – one at Hyderabad, AP and another at Amaravai – Maharashtra.

The three services have several modernization plans underway, some of which have been delayed. The Indian government seeks to address this through the new Defense Procurement Policy (DPP) 2016, which seeks to streamline procurement and give more leeway to suppliers, opening up Foreign Direct Investment, allowing single vendor participation for tenders, and initiating a “Strategic Partner” model.

To dilute Government holding and listing benefits, BDL is coming out with a maiden IPO of 22451953 equity shares of Rs. 10 each by offer for sale (OFS) via book building route with a price band of Rs. 413 – 428 per share to mobilize Rs. 927.27 – Rs. 960.94 cr. based on lower and upper price bands. Issue opens for subscription on 13.03.18 and will close on 15.03.18. It has reserved 458203 shares (0.25% of the issue) for eligible employees. Company is offering a discount of Rs. 10 per share to Retail investors and eligible employees. Minimum application is to be made for 35 shares and in multiples thereon, thereafter. Post allotment, shares will be listed on BSE and NSE. Issue constitutes 12.25% of the post issue paid up capital of the company. BRLMs to this offer are SBI Capital Markets Ltd., IDBI Capital Markets & Securities Ltd. and Yes Securities (India) Ltd. Alankit Assignments Ltd. is the registrar to the issue. Its entire equity is issued at par. It has also issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1 for 4 in November 2016 and 1 for 1 in February 2018. It has bought back few shares at in the price range of Rs. 115.28 and Rs. 147.49 per share in March 2016 and September 2017 respectively. Being OFS, its equity post issue remains same at Rs. 183.28 cr.

On performance front, BDL has posted turnover/net profits of Rs. 3253.23 cr. / Rs. 443.55 cr. (FY15), Rs. 4601.38 cr. / Rs. 562.07 cr. (FY16) and Rs. 5198.07 cr. / Rs. 490.32 cr. (FY17). Despite higher turnover, it has posted lower net for FY17 and first half of current fiscal due to fall in other income as due to buy backs in last 4 years, its cash surplus reduced affecting interest income. For the first half of the current fiscal ended on30.09.17, it has earned net profit of Rs. 172.59 cr. on a turnover of Rs. 2190.25 cr. For last three fiscals, it has posted an average EPS of Rs. 19.40 and an average RoNW of 25.67% on the basis of fully diluted current equity. Issue is priced at a P/BV of 4.81 based on its NAV of Rs. 88.96 as on 30.09.17 (on fully diluted current equity). If we annualize latest earnings and attribute it on its post issue equity then asking price is at a P/E of around 23. It has no listed peers to compare with. Company’s current order book as of January 31, 2018 is Rs. 10543 crore.

On BRLMs’ front, the three merchant bankers associated with the offer have handled 26 public issues in the past three years out of which 7 issues closed below the issue price on listing date.


Conclusion / Investment Strategy

Although defense sector is in the transition mode with opening up of the sector for private players and FDI liberalization, considering status enjoyed by the company coupled with its track record and the order book position, investors may consider investment for long term.

Review By Dilip Davda on Mar 7, 2018

Review Author

DISCLAIMER: No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor prior to making any actual investment decisions, based on information published here. Any reader taking decisions based on any information published here does so entirely at own risk. Investors should bear in mind that any investment in stock markets are subject to unpredictable market related risks. Above information is based on RHP and other documents available as of date coupled with market perception. Author has no plans to invest in this offer.

(SEBI registered Research Analyst-Mumbai).


About Dilip Davda

Dilip Davda, a freelance journalist

Dilip Davda is veteran journalist associated with stock market since 1978. He is contributing to print and electronic media on stock markets/insurance/finance since 1985.

Dilip Davda is a leading reviewer of public issues and NCDs in the primary stock market in India. The knowledge he gained over 3 decades while working in the stock market and a strong relationship with popular lead managers makes his reviews unique. His detail fundamental and financial analysis of companies coming up with IPO helps investors in the primary stock market. Dilip Davda has a special interest in analyzing the SME companies and writing reviews about their public issues. His reviews are regularly published online and in news papers.

Email: dilip_davda@rediffmail.com

More Bharat Dynamics Ltd IPO Views / Analysis / Recommendations ...

The Bharat Dynamics IPO Analysis helps you to understand about the company, offer detail, valuation, capital structure and financial performance. Our SEBI registered IPO Analysts tells you if Bharat Dynamics IPO worth investing. The Bharat Dynamics IPO Note sets the IPO expectations in systematic way which tells you if Bharat Dynamics IPO good to buy (good or bad / yes or no). The IPO Forecast tells you weather to invest in Bharat Dynamics IPO by providing IPO recommendations i.e. subscribe, avoid and neutral.


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