Eagleye, NSE will be coming at price band of Rs. 90/- IPO size 10000 Cr. No of Shares to be issued 110 Cr. (11Cr as per draft of FV 10/-) Hence P. B. comes to Rs. 90/- apx Therefore At 90/- P. B. With EPS 2.6 PE comes to 35. Hence NSE PE 35 BSE PE 23
You Can see the difference... The justify the gap.
I sold my IPO allotment today at 335.95. If you are willing to hold then technically it will cross 360 very easily. I sold because I want RETURN of CAPITAL instead of RETURN on CAPITAL
I applied for listing gains only. Not investment. It turned out as a trap so I sold today. I have no intention to buy it again. I want the sale proceeds in my bank :)
There are lots of confusion in financial nos. i.e. standalone, consolidated, EPS calculations (based on face value 1 or 2). In draft we have data available for only first quarter. In actual we already completed three quarters. First two quarters are really good for Indian Stock markets. In third quarter due to demonetization no. are affected. We will see the same in fourth quarter also. I think prediction of whole year EPS based on first quarter nos. is not good. Draft document is saying different no.s of shares for sale than actual no.s of shares for sale.
I think we should wait for few more days. Once RHP and price band is declared then we should do more analysis and comparison.
Demonetisation is an unusual event & capital market seems to sailed out of it. Volumes, Nos of Securities, Varieties in listing products continue to stay. In my view all business will enhance over the period with decent pace. BSE Ltd going to offer a steady, stable investment opportunity to its investors. Go & grab it... Make Money & Stay Happy
BSE mainly gets money from trading commission and IPO listing fees. You can see no. of IPO listed after demonetization. No. are drastically reduced. Also trade volume is also affected. New IPO listing will be less in Q4 also. Demonetization will affect profitability of BSE for third and fourth quarter of year 2016-17. There is no doubt about this facts.
Demonatisation affected across the market but in my view Capital Market now leaving it behind. Many SMEs, Debt listing, Mutual funds, Bonds, Equity listings already started post demonetisation, secondly exchange always get benefits from volume, listing fees etc. once co get listed. Exchanges will have sustainable, growing business. Earlier exchanges get revenue from equity listings only. now they have currency, debt, Bonds, SME Platform. In future many more sizable cos will get listed & volume will grow. More importantly many New Products will come to enhance further revenue to Exchanges....
44. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 6, 2017 2:34:49 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
BSE IPO
For 1X RII = 3.18L Forms NII = 197 Crs
Subscription Expected RII = 9.50L Forms = 2.99X Applic.wise (Avg allotment of 5.685 shares per lot) NII = 25K Crs. = 127X
Interest cost @4.25%p.a. for 7days = 69.3paise for 1X
Thus, for 25K Crs. the costing = Rs.88 per share (GMP)
Apart from the intelligence that you possess, i really appreciate the way you draft / edit your posts with each and every word in its right place. The punctuation and choice of words are impeccable.........absolutely flawless.
Anything more if i write, it will start sounding like artificial flattery.
Very nice calculation you have done....we appear like dwarfs when compared to your knowledge.
44.2. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 6, 2017 3:38:14 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Dear Chitchor Sir (m=481)
You are such a senior member of this forum, your kind words of appreciation mean a lot to me. Thank you very much indeed
43.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 6, 2017 2:37:46 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Dear Septa Sir,
"NSE in last trade valued it at 46 PE" ... from where did you get this Information ?? For viewing the BSE Consolidated Financial Results for the Six Months Ended Sep 30, 2016
See Link here below http://www.bseindia.com/downloads1/BSE_Consolidated_Financial_Results_for_the_Six_Months_Ended_Sep30_2016.pdf
Please note: a) On October 28, 2016 BSE has consolidated the equity shares having a face value of Re. 1/- each into equity shares having a face value of Rs.2/- each
Hence, every 2 shares held on September 30, 2016 is now equivalent to 1 shares after Consolidation.
Thereby, EPS for FY 15-16 is Rs.24.36 & EPS for H1 16-17 is Rs.19.72
with the (assumed) CY EPS of Rs.39.44 (19.72 X 2) ... and if the IPO is priced @Rs.850/- ... then the PE works out to be 21.55X
Is that good or bad ?
Further, you may find it useful to compare NSE with BSE …
For viewing the NSE Consolidated Financial Results for the Six Months Ended Sep 30, 2016
See Link here below https://www.nseindia.com/global/content/about_us/NSEIL_10112016.pdf
Please note:
a) On November 24, 2016 NSE allotted Bonus shares in the ratio: 1:10
b) On December 13, 2016 NSE has sub-divided the equity shares having a face value of Rs. 10/- each into equity shares having a face value of Rs.1/- each
Hence, every 1 share held on September 30, 2016 is now equivalent to 110 shares after Bonus & Split.
Thereby, EPS for FY 15-16 is Rs.1.886 & EPS for H1 16-17 is Rs.1.313
with the (assumed) CY EPS of Rs.2.63 (1.313 X 2) ... and if the IPO is priced @Rs.60/- ... then the PE will work out to be 22.85X
i should have said expected Market cap then last traded and expected market value of Rs 45,000 crore based on 10000 Cr IPO issue size approx which is approx 22.7%. financial year ended March 31, 2016 NSE’s total income from operations was Rs 2,359 crore and its net profit stood at Rs 975 crore so 45000/975 = 46.15 PE ( this i got from forbes article (http://www.forbesindia.com/article/special/nse-files-draft-ipo-papers-with-sebi-looks-to-raise-rs-10000-crore/45245/1)
that is how i got a PE of 46 . if i take NSE (https://www.nseindia.com/global/content/about_us/NSEIL_10112016.pdf) then calculation will be different may be we should wait on RHP
BTW thank you for sharing the info
with regards to BSE " hereby, EPS for FY 15-16 is Rs.24.36 & EPS for H1 16-17 is Rs.19.72
with the (assumed) CY EPS of Rs.39.44 (19.72 X 2) ... and if the IPO is priced @Rs.850/- ... then the PE works out to be 21.55X
Is that good or bad ?"
IMO if it comes at that price band it GOOD
SO LETS WAIT FOR NSE DETAILS
43.3. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 6, 2017 5:02:30 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
I have made a stupid typological error in the facts about NSE ...
the correction should read as ... Hence, every 1 share held on 30th September is equivalent to 11 shares after Bonus & Split.
consequently, the calculations gets revised 10X as follows:
Thereby, EPS for FY 15-16 is Rs.18.86 & EPS for H1 16-17 is Rs.13.13
with the (assumed) CY EPS of Rs.26.26 (13.13 X 2) ... and if the IPO is priced @Rs.600/- ... then the PE will work out to be 22.85X
... pardon me folks _/\_
42. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 6, 2017 1:55:22 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
You may find it useful to compare NSE with BSE …
For viewing the NSE Consolidated Financial Results for the Six Months Ended Sep 30, 2016
See Link here below https://www.nseindia.com/global/content/about_us/NSEIL_10112016.pdf
Please note:
a) On November 24, 2016 NSE allotted Bonus shares in the ratio: 1:10
b) On December 13, 2016 NSE has sub-divided the equity shares having a face value of Rs. 10/- each into equity shares having a face value of Rs.1/- each
Hence, every 1 share held on 30th September is equivalent to 110 shares after Bonus & Split.
42.1. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 6, 2017 5:00:12 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
I have made a silly typological error ...
the correction should read as ... Hence, every 1 share held on 30th September is equivalent to 11 shares after Bonus & Split.
It can a hugh difference of 10X ... pardon me folks _/\_
I believe IPO market will start with a great bang in year 2017. BSE Ltd, will poised to give bumper returns. Even on Higher price band it has lots of value.... super strong Balance Sheet backed with loads of Cash & equilents Constantly evolving with innovative products for across the business segments. Many more companies listings their Debt & Equity Instruments. Another Jewels in Balance Sheets are :- CDSL, Indian clearing corp. ltd, BSE Institute.... *No brainer ~ Just Subscribe it & make money*
Correct me if I am wrong DADDA trade reduction will be positive BSE & NSE. Since dadda trade circumference the real trade . So decrease in DADDA TRADING IS PLUS FOR BSE
eagleye if it comes at 850 and looking at same size international exchange listed it is cheap a good 10 to 15% upside is possible and if you compare that with NSE when the last trade took place at 46 PE this would be steal.
33. Eagleye| Link| Bookmark|
January 5, 2017 10:24:03 PM
IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
BSE IPO
For 1X RII = 3.18L Forms NII = 197 Crs
Subscription Expected RII = 7.50L Forms = 2.36X Applic.wise NII = 30K Crs. = 152X
Interest cost @4%p.a. for 7days = 65.2p for 1X Thus, for 30K Crs. the costing = Rs.99.45 per share
Any info on the issue price range? Would also request septaji and Eagle eye to give their opinion on the issue.
Thanks to Eagleeye for suggesting to go thru DRHP of bseindia, which I went through, but unable to reach a conclusion as the issue price appears to be Rs 850 at least