Based on my analysis i give it a fair value of Rs1100 i have been very very conservative in my growth rate however IMO these growth rate of 14% to 11% is easily achievable by the company also.... IMO if issue is Rs900 approx i would not be surprised to see GMP of Rs350 and above eagleye and arjun patel will soon update the correct GMP my guess is the GMP will be in range of Rs 350 to Rs450 approx. Good issue will list on premium if the issue price is RS 900 Approx so do apply with full force.....
Initial Cash Flow: $70,40,00,000
Years: 1-5 6-10
Growth Rate: 60% 40%
Terminal Growth Rate: 5% Discount Rate: 9%
Shares Outstanding: 2,23,23,693 Margin of Safety: 25%
Debt Level:
Year Flows Growth Value
1 80,25,60,000 14% $73,62,93,578
2 90,68,92,800 13% $76,33,13,526
3 1,01,57,19,936 12% $78,43,22,155
4 1,13,76,06,328 12% $80,59,09,003
5 1,27,41,19,088 12% $82,80,89,985
6 1,42,70,13,378 12% $85,08,81,452
7 1,59,82,54,984 12% $87,43,00,208
8 1,79,00,45,582 12% $89,83,63,517
9 1,98,69,50,596 11% $91,48,47,251
10 2,20,55,15,161 11% $93,16,33,439
Terminal Year $2,31,57,90,919
PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows: $8,38,79,54,114
Terminal Value: $24,45,53,77,770
Total PV of Cash Flows: $32,84,33,31,883
Number of Shares: 2,23,23,693
Intrinsic Value (IV): $1,471.23
Margin of Safety IV: $1,103.42
What Percentage of IV comes from 74%
the Terminal Value: