1251. M Gupta| Link| Bookmark|
December 7, 2010 1:38:30 PM
IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 3100+ Likes)
Grey Market Premium further down to 185-190. I still advise my freinds to sell their positions immediately at available prices otherwise this share will list at as low as rs. 100 premium only..
1239, TapSam, The Govt. is perhaps worried about the fall in share prices if it declares the FPO price lesser than CMP which is going to be the case actually. Once it announces a lower price, people start selling in secondary market and so the price falls too much to the comfort of the Govt. So it is all a game to keep the prices intact. Do you think investors are fools to touch any FPO if it is priced higher than the market price?
Normally debt. free company trade higher then regular PE. if same business company (With debt) trade at 35 PE. then it (Company without Debt.) should trade at 38- 40 PE. Also we need to understand business model and based on that we can think about price target. Even I am also learner. My understanding say that don't sell this stock for 5 years. It may touch 1500 - 2500 based on demand.RIL was Rs.85 in 1998, people didn't understand business of RIL. See where it is now. same way ONGC was 250 in 2004. check today. Good luck and happy investing.
Dear Smart IPO Investor, You are right, MOIL will see highs. In fact I am planning to keep it for ever. However, the price target of Rs 700 (i.e, FY11 Expected EPS of around Rs 35 x PE of 20) should be a TARGET after another few months, isn't it? Presently, it should list around Rs 450-500 and should stabilize around Rs 600 after few days, AS PER FUNDAMENTALS.
Dear Mr Dipak Patel, I was only insisting on fair valuation from buying/investing point of view. Market behaves in it's own way. However, in Coal India itself, you can see listing was at Rs 287 as predicted roughly by fundamentals. After initial hoopla, it did come down to Rs 310 (around the fair value). Now again the consolidation is happening around Rs 320, that's different matter. Any way, thanks for your comment in the reply.
I am jumping in this comment. I don't know what conversation started. But I can tell you MOIL should go long. When Coal India was came out. I told my broker it should go 300+ they don't believe it b'coz same business stock trade in China and Africa with PE of 20 and 25 while Coal India's EPS was 15 -16 so it should trade around 320 - 340 as per 20PE. now it will drive based on news. Same thing can happen to MOIL. So don't surprised if you see MOIL to 600 - 700 level.
SO I would strongly suggest to give target with this kind of logic and correct data.
Dear TAPSAM.... everybody knows govt. is not for charity but u can c the response of coal India. and I can remember all analyst were talking that coal will list at around 280 and u had seen at had list around 304 and shot up to 344.90. same way MOIL will reach this levels. u r right market drives it and I am expecting your valuable comment on 15th of dec. thnx.