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Concord Biotech Limited IPO Message Board (Page 47)

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30. Vultureee |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 8:45:42 PM
IPO Mentor IPO Mentor (500+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
TENTATIVE

Ebixcash IPO possible in Mid August

Size 5000 - 6000 crore
29. Pbdrajkot |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 5:17:22 PM (200+ Posts)
CONCORD small fix 750
Concord 10 lakh fix 12100
SBFC 10 lakh fix 12000
28. Pbdrajkot |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 5:16:03 PM (200+ Posts)
CONCORD small fix 750
Concord 10 lakh fix 12100
SBFC 10 lakh fix 12000
27. Pbdrajkot |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 1:06:45 PM (200+ Posts)
Concord 10 lakh fix 12000
SBFC 10 lakh fix 11700
26. UjwalG |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 12:01:20 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
From rhp
-Company operates in API manufacturing and formulations related API
- Majority off raw material is imported from china.
-3 manufacturing and 2 R&D centre in gujarat
-API contributes 90% revenue, formulations 10%
-Caters to 200 customers. Top 10 customers contributed ~44% of revenues in 2023
-Working capital is very long 250 days avg !!
-Selected for PLI scheme
- revenue split India-50%, USA-18%, Rest of world(china and japan majorly i think )- 32%
- There is large CAPEX in 2023 numbers, which is inline for pharma companies. I think DIVIS also has done a capex in 2022. Usually in business slowdown capex shows confident and agressive nature of the company to its business.
-Jhunjhujwala's hold almost 24% equity. Second largest shareholder

26.1. UjwalG |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 12:31:58 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
-some kpi. ROE >20%, ebitda >35%
- Peers list (All 2023 ending figures)
Divis ,PE-54 , ROE-15%, EBITDA-30%
Suven, PE -30, ROE-25%, EBITDA-42%
Laurus, PE- 23, ROE-21%, EBITDA- 26%
Shilpa medicare, PE -none

25. newgen consultancy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 6:25:30 AM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (3300+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
Onelt Ltd. Files IPO papers with SEBI
Fresh : 77cr
OFS : 32.5 lk shares
24. G M Surana |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 11:35:09 AM
All members write to SEBI that it should ban third party asba immediately for better allotment chances for all first party asba
24.14. Rameshkkr |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 4:58:38 PM
I think more than 50 percent are still third party asba/upi
24.15. PKRAJ |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 5:01:02 PM
@No One Welcome to this great Forum of investors. This is you first message in response to my post. Thanks and have a nice time always.
23. newgen consultancy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 11:00:48 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (3300+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
NEW MAINBOARD IPO

PYRAMID TECHNOPLAST IPO ( TENTATIVE )

Expected date : 14-16 August
Issue price ( Expected) : ~120 Size : ~190 cr
Fresh - ~114 cr
OFS - ~75cr Lead managers:
1.PNB Investment
2.First Overseas Capital
Registrar : Bigshare services

FV : Rs.10
Retail : 10%
M.cap : 560 cr

6m FY 23 : Revenue - 237 cr
PAT - 15.74 cr
Expected Earnings of whole Year based on analysis of past performance
Rev : 520 cr
PAT : 45 cr

PE : 12.4

Peers ( on paper )
1.Uflex - 6.4
2.Time Technoplast - 14.10
3.Cosmo Films - 6.89
4.Polyplex Corporation -11.08
5.Jindal POLY - 8.64

Real competitors
1.Time Technoplast : 14.10
2.Mitsu Chem Plast : 18.66

All details are hypothetical and my personal
Approximations no guarantee on what the reality could be . Only reference
23.1. svh |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 12:25:28 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (2400+ Posts, 3600+ Likes)
15 August - Tuesday / Market Holiday / Independence Day

16 August - Wednedday / Bank Holiday / Parsi New Year
🙏👍
23.2. newgen consultancy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 1:39:55 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (3300+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
Did research on every aspect , but not on dates 🥲, Thanks @svh For pointing out
Dates can be around 10-12 Aug or after 16 Aug .
22. sonal patel |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 7:37:40 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
GMP of Concord bio is 340 - 345 rs
Apply Apply Apply
Chances of allotment compare to other is very good..
22.1. Jethalal ke babuji |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 8:07:30 PM
But asking high valuation compare to peers
22.2. newgen consultancy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 9:59:50 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (3300+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
@Jethalal ke babuji Sir agar bullrun nahi hota to 28 ke PE par bhi IPO aa jata par
Rakeshji ke company ka IPO he , महँगा था,
महँगा हैं और महँगा ही मिलेगा

See in Star health , metro brands , Nazara
All are good companies but the valuations were on expense side

I am extremely bullish on this company also on IPO. This kind of API business will not witness pressure like Gland , Laurus

This company receives competition from foreign players and not much from Indian ones .

SO BUY RIGHT , SIT TIGHT
21. newgen consultancy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 9:54:56 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (3300+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
Just did some Balance Sheet analysis,
Everything is good , Very low debt

Only one concern observed , the cash flows are not strong and uncomfortable

Also some provisions made for future liabilities but not much serious
Will give final verdict after some time
21.1. UjwalG |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 11:37:06 AM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 500+ Likes)
Theres a mistake in rhp, cashflow operations ending March 2023. It is positive. Further in rhp its rectified
21.2. newgen consultancy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 1:43:06 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (3300+ Posts, 5700+ Likes)
@UjwalG Will confirm upon that.
But my point was about unstability and not positive or negative
IPO aane se pehle sabhi companies ke cash flow positive ho jate he 😉
20. Eagleye |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 2:42:27 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Concord Biotech IPO – *GMP Estimated* (as on 29/July)

GMP = 335 +/- 1

KOSTAK:
for B-NII (>10L) = 12,750/-
for S-NII (2L-10L) = 3,500/-
for RII (<2L) = 980/-

SUBJECT TO ALLOTMENT:
for NII (>2L) (for lotsize of 280) = 75,000/-
for RII (<2L) (for lotsize of 20) = 5,350/-
20.1. Gujju IPO |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 8:04:34 PM
Top Contributor Top Contributor (400+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@Eagleye 
Your analysis very helpful to small investors, Please keep update
Thank you
20.2. Safe Bet |   Link |  Bookmark | July 31, 2023 2:18:18 PM
Top Contributor Top Contributor (500+ Posts, 100+ Likes)
@Eagleye Really helpful ....Aap ka jawaab nahi!
19. Eagleye |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 7:40:05 AM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
Concord Biotech IPO – Schedule *(FINAL – RHP Page #318)*

01st Aug – Announcement of Price Band
03rd Aug – Anchor Investors Allotment
04th Aug – Offer Opens
08th Aug – Offer Closes
11th Aug – Finalisation of Basis of Allotment
14th Aug – Unblocking of funds from ASBA Account
17th Aug – Credit of Equity Shares to Demat accounts
18th Aug – Commencement of Trading

Concord Biotech IPO – Issue Information *(TENTATIVE)*

Issue Opens on: 04th Aug 2023
Issue Closes on: 08th Aug 2023
Issue Type: Book Built Issue IPO
Issue Size: 2,09,25,652 Shares
Face Value: Rs.1/- per Share
Issue Price: Rs710 – Rs.750 Share *(TENTATIVE)*
Discount: ??/- (for Employees)
Market Lot: 20 Shares
Listing At: NSE, BSE

Equity Shares outstanding prior to the Issue = 10,46,16,204 Shares
Fresh Issue of NIL Shares @750/- = Rs.NILCrs
Offer for Sale of 2,09,25,652 Shares @750/- = Rs.1569.42Crs
Equity Shares outstanding after the Issue = 10,46,16,204 Shares

Category-wise Break up:
Anchor – 62,74,696 Shares = 470.60Crs
QIB – 41,83,130 Shares = 313.73Crs
B-NII (>10L) – 20,91,565 Shares = 156.87Crs (Lot size: 280 = 7,470 Forms)
S-NII (2L-10L) – 10,45,783 Shares = 78.43Crs (Lot size: 280 = 3,735 Forms)
RII (<2L) – 73,20,478 Shares = 549.04Crs (Lot size: 20 = 3,66,024 Forms)
Employees – 10,000 Shares = 0.75Crs (@750/-)
Total Issue – 2,09,25,652 Shares = 1569.42Crs.

Concord Biotech IPO – Financial Information (Basis of Valuation)

The information is collated from the following documents:
1) RHP = Red Herring Prospectus Dated July 27, 2023 (380 pages)

EPS for FY20-21 >>> Rs.122.45 (Page #92 of RHP)
EPS for FY21-22 >>> Rs.16.72 (Page #92 of RHP)
*EPS for FY22-23 >>> Rs.22.95 (Page #92 of RHP)*

RoNW for FY20-21 >>> 26.55% (Page #93 of RHP)
RoNW for FY21-22 >>> 16.64% (Page #93 of RHP)
*RoNW for FY22-23 >>> 20.06% (Page #93 of RHP)*

NAV as on 31st March 2023, was Rs.123.31 (Page #93 of RHP)

Listed Industry Peer Group (Page #95 of RHP): Divi's Lab, Suven Pharma, Laurus labs, Shilpa Medicare

Concord Biotech IPO – *Required for 1X Subscription*:

Anchor = 470.60Crs
QIB = 313.73Crs

B-NII (>10L) Application = 7,470 Forms (for lotsize of 280)
S-NII (2L-10L) Application = 3,735 Forms (for lotsize of 280)
RII (<2L) Application = 2,39,651 Forms (for lotsize of 20)

Concord Biotech IPO – *Market’s Current Estimates of OverSubscription*:

QIB = 30K Crs. = ~95.62X

B-NII (>10L) = 55K Forms = 7.36X Applic. wise (Avg allotment ~38.03 shares)

S-NII (2L-10L) = 100K Forms = 26.77X Applic. wise (Avg allotment ~10.46 shares)

RII (<2L) Application = 22L Forms = 6.83X Applic. wise (Avg allotment ~2.93 shares)

Interest cost *@10.00%p.a.* for 7days = *143.84paise for 1X*

Thus,
for QIB the costing = 95.62 X 143.84 paise = Rs.137.54 per share (= GMP)

for B-NII (>10L) the costing = 38.03 X 137.54 = Rs.5,230/- per form

for S-NII (2L-10L) the costing = 10.46 X 137.54 = Rs.1,438/- per form

And, for RII (<2L) the costing = 2.93 X 137.54 = Rs.403/- (= Kostak)

Concord Biotech IPO – *GMP Estimated* (as on 28/July)

GMP = 325 +/- 1

KOSTAK:
for B-NII (>10L) = 12,350/-
for S-NII (2L-10L) = 3,400/-
for RII (<2L) = 950/-

SUBJECT TO ALLOTMENT:
for NII (>2L) (for lotsize of 280) = 72,800/-
for RII (<2L) (for lotsize of 20) = 5,200/-

Concord Biotech IPO – *Expected Delivery Volume on Listing Day*

Pre-opening = 31L shares (NSE + BSE)
EOD = 125L shares (NSE + BSE)

Concord Biotech IPO – Expected Listing

@1,125 +/- 25
19.13. IPOTraders |   Link |  Bookmark | July 30, 2023 6:54:02 AM
IPO Mentor IPO Mentor (700+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
Beautifully explained.
Like your hard work, definitely it will help innocent retailers
19.14. MAMU |   Link |  Bookmark | July 31, 2023 7:46:54 AM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (1700+ Posts, 1100+ Likes)
@Eagleye 
Its not tentative, Its like a perfect one. Great work and estimate

Yesterday GMP close around 324/-
Lets check where it will open today.

sHni :- 2700/-
bHni :- 12700/-
Retail:- 875/-

Retail : 6 - 7 Xshni : 16 x
bhni : 9 x
At current premium above estimate is higher side.
18. Vultureee |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 7:11:53 PM
IPO Mentor IPO Mentor (500+ Posts, 300+ Likes)
700-740
17. Koradiya |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 5:54:11 PM
Kostak rate?
16. B.M.SURANA |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 4:51:32 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 4900+ Likes)
Concord Biotech

App Rates
15k. - 950/= ₹1000/=
2lac - ₹3200/= ₹3400/=
10lac - 12500/= - ₹13000/=

Confirm✅ Shauda Kolkata Beawar Chennai
₹330/= ₹335/=
16.39. B.M.SURANA |   Link |  Bookmark | August 11, 2023 9:52:45 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 4900+ Likes)
GMP
₹135/= ₹140/=
Majbooti Nhi hai!
16.40. B.M.SURANA |   Link |  Bookmark | August 15, 2023 8:49:36 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (2600+ Posts, 4900+ Likes)
Raipur Kolkata Beawar
GMP
₹118/= ₹120/=
15. Jayy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 3:33:25 PM
Please advice expert how the allotment work in small HNI. How many minimum lot will I get in small HNI if I get the allotment. Thanks!
14. Eagleye |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 2:51:17 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (6600+ Posts, 21900+ Likes)
REVISED

Concord Biotech IPO – Schedule *(FINAL – RHP Page #318)*

01st Aug – Announcement of Price Band
03rd Aug – Anchor Investors Allotment
04th Aug – Offer Opens
08th Aug – Offer Closes
11th Aug – Finalisation of Basis of Allotment
14th Aug – Unblocking of funds from ASBA Account
17th Aug – Credit of Equity Shares to Demat accounts
18th Aug – Commencement of Trading

Concord Biotech IPO – Issue Information *(TENTATIVE)*

Issue Opens on: 04th Aug 2023
Issue Closes on: 08th Aug 2023
Issue Type: Book Built Issue IPO
Issue Size: 2,09,25,652 Shares
Face Value: Rs.1/- per Share
Issue Price: Rs710 – Rs.750 Share *(TENTATIVE)*
Discount: ??/- (for Employees)
Market Lot: 20 Shares
Listing At: NSE, BSE

Equity Shares outstanding prior to the Issue = 10,46,16,204 Shares
Fresh Issue of NIL Shares @750/- = Rs.NILCrs
Offer for Sale of 2,09,25,652 Shares @750/- = Rs.1569.42Crs
Equity Shares outstanding after the Issue = 10,46,16,204 Shares

Category-wise Break up:
Anchor – 62,74,696 Shares = 470.60Crs
QIB – 41,83,130 Shares = 313.73Crs
B-NII (>10L) – 20,91,565 Shares = 156.87Crs (Lot size: 280 = 7,470 Forms)
S-NII (2L-10L) – 10,45,783 Shares = 78.43Crs (Lot size: 280 = 3,735 Forms)
RII (<2L) – 73,20,478 Shares = 549.04Crs (Lot size: 20 = 3,66,024 Forms)
Employees – 10,000 Shares = 0.75Crs (@750/-)
Total Issue – 2,09,25,652 Shares = 1569.42Crs.

Concord Biotech IPO – Financial Information (Basis of Valuation)

The information is collated from the following documents:
1) RHP = Red Herring Prospectus Dated July 27, 2023 (380 pages)

EPS for FY20-21 >>> Rs.122.45 (Page #92 of RHP)
EPS for FY21-22 >>> Rs.16.72 (Page #92 of RHP)
*EPS for FY22-23 >>> Rs.22.95 (Page #92 of RHP)*

RoNW for FY20-21 >>> 26.55% (Page #93 of RHP)
RoNW for FY21-22 >>> 16.64% (Page #93 of RHP)
*RoNW for FY22-23 >>> 20.06% (Page #93 of RHP)*

NAV as on 31st March 2023, was Rs.123.31 (Page #93 of RHP)

Listed Industry Peer Group (Page #95 of RHP): Divi's Lab, Suven Pharma, Laurus labs, Shilpa Medicare

Concord Biotech IPO – *Required for 1X Subscription*:

Anchor = 470.60Crs
QIB = 313.73Crs

B-NII (>10L) Application = 7,470 Forms (for lotsize of 280)
S-NII (2L-10L) Application = 3,735 Forms (for lotsize of 280)
RII (<2L) Application = 3,66,024 Forms (for lotsize of 20)

Concord Biotech IPO – *Market’s Current Estimates of OverSubscription*:

QIB = 30K Crs. = ~95.62X

B-NII (>10L) = 55K Forms = 7.36X Applic. wise (Avg allotment ~38.03 shares)

S-NII (2L-10L) = 100K Forms = 26.77X Applic. wise (Avg allotment ~10.46 shares)

RII (<2L) Application = 22L Forms = 6.83X Applic. wise (Avg allotment ~2.93 shares)

Interest cost *@10.00%p.a.* for 7days = *143.84paise for 1X*

Thus,
for QIB the costing = 95.62 X 143.84 paise = Rs.137.54 per share (= GMP)

for B-NII (>10L) the costing = 38.03 X 137.54 = Rs.5,230/- per form

for S-NII (2L-10L) the costing = 10.46 X 137.54 = Rs.1,438/- per form

And, for RII (<2L) the costing = 2.93 X 137.54 = Rs.403/- (= Kostak)

Concord Biotech IPO – *GMP Estimated* (as on 29/July)

GMP = 335 +/- 1

KOSTAK:
for B-NII (>10L) = 12,750/-
for S-NII (2L-10L) = 3,500/-
for RII (<2L) = 980/-

SUBJECT TO ALLOTMENT:
for NII (>2L) (for lotsize of 280) = 75,000/-
for RII (<2L) (for lotsize of 20) = 5,350/-

Concord Biotech IPO – *Expected Delivery Volume on Listing Day*

Pre-opening = 31L shares (NSE + BSE)
EOD = 125L shares (NSE + BSE)

Concord Biotech IPO – Expected Listing

@1,125 +/- 25
13. IPO GURU. |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 1:56:27 PM
IPO Guru IPO Guru (1000+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
350 GmP
12. G M Surana |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 11:33:37 AM
SEBI please ban the third party asba immediately
11. IPO Reddy |   Link |  Bookmark | July 29, 2023 7:44:42 AM
@MRavichandran @lokes @newgen consultancy @Eagleye  @KAMMA SIVA RAMA KRISHNA  @PKRAJ @svh  @Viraj. @ipobull  And other Respected forum members,
please send mail to registrar for releasing funds(ORIANA POWER) in advance. Which was happened with NETWEB technologies

Please share your longterm & mediumterm recommendation for this issue😊