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Review By Dilip Davda on July 16, 2022
• AGPL is in the business of turn-key solar PV power plant executions.
• It has posted inconsistency in its top and bottom lines.
• FY22-10M has shown poor results despite the variety of products.
• Despite being at par, the issue is at a P/E of 250.
• Risk seeker/cash surplus investors may consider it for the long term.
ABOUT COMPANY:
Agni Green Power Ltd. (AGPL) is in the business of executing turn-key Solar PV Power Plant projects, including Design, Engineering, Supply, Installation & Commissioning (I&C) and Maintenance, for both Stand-alone and Grid Connected PV Systems from the conceptualization to completion stages.
It is an integrated solar energy solutions provider offering engineering, procurement and construction ("EPC") services, and operations and maintenance ("O&M") services to customers. AGPL also manufactures Solar Power Conditioning Unit, Solar Inverter (Hybrid & Grid Connected), Solar Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) Charger, Remote Monitoring and Diagnostic System, Solar Photovoltaic Junction Box, Control Panel, Digital DC Energy Meter, Solar Adapter and Solar Pump Controller etc.
It has also expanded its footprints through four branch offices in Chhattisgarh, Assam, Mizoram and Tripura. Its key customers mainly include reputed Government organizations.
Its bank borrowing surged from Rs. 7.26 cr. for FY19 to Rs. 11.26 cr. for FY22-10M. As of the date of filing this offer document, it had 75 employees on its payroll. This segment is highly competitive and fragmented.
ISSUE DETAILS/CAPITAL HISTORY:
To part finance its needs for working capital (Rs. 4.28 cr.) and general corporate purposes (Rs. 0.50 cr.), AGPL is coming out with a maiden IPO of 5250000 equity shares of Rs. 10 each at par to mobilize Rs. 5.25 cr. The issue is opening for subscription on July 20, 2022, and will close on July 22, 2022. Minimum application is to be made for 10000 shares and in multiples thereon, thereafter. Post allotment, shares will be listed on NSE SME Emerge. The issue constitutes 26.88% of the post-IPO paid-up capital of the company. AGPL is spending Rs. 0.47 cr. for this IPO process.
The issue is solely lead managed by Finshore Management Services Ltd., Cameo Corporate Services Ltd. is the registrar to the issue and Nikunj Share Brokers Ltd. is the market maker for this IPO.
The company has issued its entire equity capital at par value so far. It has also issued bonus shares in the ratio of 1 for 1 in October 2007, 3 for 1 in March 2013, 30 for 1 in September 2018 and 1 for 1 in January 2022. The average cost of acquisition of shares by the promoters is Rs. 0.02 and Rs. 0.06 per share.
Post-IPO, AGPL's current paid-up equity capital of Rs. 14.29 cr. will stand enhanced to Rs. 19.54 cr. Based on the IPO pricing, the company is looking for a market cap of Rs. 19.54 cr.
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE:
On the financial performance front, for the last three fiscals, AGPL has posted turnover/net profits of Rs. 31.73 cr. / Rs. 2.23 cr. (FY19), Rs. 23.24 cr. / Rs. 0.10 cr. (FY20) and Rs. 35.27 cr. / Rs. 0.11 cr. (FY21). For the 10 months period of FY22 ended on January 31, 2022, it has earned a net profit of Rs. 0.07 cr. on a turnover of Rs. 7.12 cr. A sudden slide in bottom lines from FY20 onwards raises concern. Even the top line has seen a drastic fall for FY22 10M.
For the last three fiscals, AGPL has posted an average EPS of Rs. 0.64 and an average RoNW of 1.75%. The issue is priced at a P/BV of 0.54 based on its NAV of Rs. 18.53 as of January 31, 2022, and at a P/BV of 0.62 based on its post-IPO NAV of 16.24 per share.
If we attribute its FY22 earnings on post IPO fully diluted equity, then the asking price is at a P/E of 250 making it an aggressively priced IPO despite being at par.
DIVIDEND POLICY:
AGPL paid dividends at 10% for FY17, 30% for FY18 and 1% for FY19 and thereafter it skipped. It will adopt a prudent dividend policy post listing, based on its financial performance and future prospects.
COMPARISON WITH LISTED PEERS:
As per the offer document, AGPLL has shown Surana Solar, Websol Energy, Urja Global and Solex Energy as its listed peers. They are currently trading at a P/E of 117.35, 37.82, 00 and 109.43 (as of July 15, 2022). However, they are not truly comparable on an apple-to-apple basis.
MERCHANT BANKER'S TRACK RECORDS:
This is the 26th mandate from Finshore Management in the last five fiscals (including the ongoing one). Out of the last 10 listings, 2 opened at par and the rest with premiums ranging from 0.09% to 65.50% on the day of listings.
Review By Dilip Davda on July 16, 2022
DISCLAIMER: No financial information whatsoever published anywhere here should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or as advice to do so in any way whatsoever. All matter published here is purely for educational and information purposes only and under no circumstances should be used for making investment decisions. My reviews do not cover GMP market and operators game plans. Readers must consult a qualified financial advisor before making any actual investment decisions, based the on information published here. With entry barriers, SEBI wants only well-informed investors to participate in such offers. With crazy listings in the recent past, SME IPOs drew the attention of investors across the board and lead to seer madness. However, as SME issues have entry barriers and continued low preference from the broking community, any reader taking decisions based on any information published here does so entirely at their own risk. The above information is based on information available as of date coupled with market perceptions. The Author has no plans to invest in this offer.
About Dilip Davda
Dilip Davda is veteran journalist associated with stock market since 1978. He is contributing to print and electronic media on stock markets/insurance/finance since 1985.
Dilip Davda is a leading reviewer of public issues and NCDs in the primary stock market in India. The knowledge he gained over 3 decades while working in the stock market and a strong relationship with popular lead managers makes his reviews unique. His detail fundamental and financial analysis of companies coming up with IPO helps investors in the primary stock market. Dilip Davda has a special interest in analyzing the SME companies and writing reviews about their public issues. His reviews are regularly published online and in news papers.
(Dilip Davda -SEBI registered Research Analyst-Mumbai,
Registration no. INH000003127 (Perpetual)
Email id: dilip_davda@rediffmail.com ).
The initial public offer (IPO) of Agni Green Power Limited offers an early investment opportunity in Agni Green Power Limited. A stock market investor can buy Agni Green Power IPO shares by applying in IPO before Agni Green Power Limited shares get listed at the stock exchanges. An investor could invest in Agni Green Power IPO for short term listing gain or a long term.
Read the Agni Green Power IPO recommendations by the leading analyst and leading stock brokers.
Agni Green Power IPO offers an opportunity to buy IPO shares before they get listed at the stock exchanges. Read the Agni Green Power IPO Notes, Analysis and Recommendations by leading stock brokerage firms and experts in the above answer.
Our recommendation for Agni Green Power IPO is to subscribe for long term.
As per the analysis by our lead analyst Mr. Dilip Davda, we suggest you to subscribe for long term to the Agni Green Power IPO.
The Agni Green Power IPO allotment status will be available on or around July 27, 2022. The allotted shares will be credited in demat account by July 29, 2022. Visit Agni Green Power IPO allotment status to check.
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BUT ON LISTING GAIN 1.50 LAC PER APPLICATION AND ON TODAY SCRIPT TRADED AT 27.50 AGAINST ISSUE PRICE 10