THE BEST IPO FOR 2016 AT 428 PRICE
APPLY IN FULL FORCE my fair price comes to Rs 561
In my analysis i find this a very good IPO a company which looks a Net profit in excess of 200 cr 2017 even if CAGR is one third of what it achieved in last 5 years which was 60% plus so even at 20% will get to 200 Cr profit
it will list at 500 plus IMO
Initial Cash Flow: $1,64,00,00,000
Years: 1-5 6-10
Growth Rate: 20% 11%
Terminal Growth Rate: 5% Discount Rate: 10%
Shares Outstanding: 10,57,56,250 Margin of Safety: 25%
Debt Level:
Year Flows Growth Value
1 1,96,80,00,000 20% $1,78,90,90,909
2 2,34,19,20,000 19% $1,93,54,71,074
3 2,76,34,65,600 18% $2,07,62,32,607
4 3,23,32,54,752 17% $2,20,83,56,500
5 3,75,05,75,512 16% $2,32,88,12,309
6 4,31,31,61,839 15% $2,43,46,67,414
7 4,91,70,04,497 14% $2,52,32,00,775
8 5,55,62,15,081 13% $2,59,20,15,341
9 6,22,29,60,891 12% $2,63,91,42,893
10 6,90,74,86,589 11% $2,66,31,35,101
Terminal Year $7,25,28,60,918
PV of Year 1-10 Cash Flows: $23,19,01,24,925
Terminal Value: $55,92,58,37,125
Total PV of Cash Flows: $79,11,59,62,050
Number of Shares: 10,57,56,250
Intrinsic Value (IV): $748.10
Margin of Safety IV: $561.07
What Percentage of IV comes from 71%
the Terminal Value: