Not too far ago I came across a piece of news about how India could have only Electric Vehicles before the year 2030 is out and that the vehicles using fossil fuel (Petrol / diesel) and the facilities that manufacture such vehicles would be bulldozed by the policymakers. The automotive makers were obviously seen huddling to race against the time and announced their Electric Vehicle Launch dates, one after another ...
But a few had full faith in the policy makers at the helm. During the recently concluded Auto Expo, the misconception was cleared and it was told that there was no Electric Vehicle policy in place or under consideration to make this too far fetched dream come true anytime sooner.
Obviously those Investors who missed onto the chance to gobble up shares of Auto Component companies that typically manufactured the fuel tanks or petrol / diesel engines or related components can''t thank the honorable, visionary R&T minister enough for such pleasantly surprising decision ....
Oh! That ..Haha You and I were thinking along the same lines ..I only feared that the surprise might turn out to be more gruesome and shocking than you or I could believe.. ....But yes! You were bang on this time...
At 30 PE this smaller Infrastructure company issue is fully priced with not much gain in short to mid term.
Listing gains are uncertain as market is currently very volatile and with PNB scam market sentiments are badly hurt. I may be wrong but I am expecting subscription to be similar to Aster.
Even for longer term.(1year)...this being election year nothing much will happen in Infrastructure development as govt focus is currently on 2019 election.
At 30PE it is a decent investment if investment time horizon is at least 2-3 year.
You post is having very good point. Specially you mentioned for next year election. We should think for this IPO. When we see the company financials, its shows heavy drop in 31/Mar/2015 to 92.22M. Its the first year of government.
Long term investor has to think twice, may be the history repeats in 2019 or 2020.
Reasonable price issue. One can expect a modest listing gain. One need not worry too much about subscription figures and need not take subscription decision based on that. Do your own analysis and take decision.There are no guarantees in this market.
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February 18, 2018 11:18:30 AM
IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
I feel it is another highly priced IPO. Not learning from the treatment / response received by Aster DM and Galaxy Surfactant. Promoters and Lead Managers are still trying to justify high price on flimsy grounds, forgetting that under present market conditions, people are not going to invest blindly except those who have personal interest / commitment to make such IPOs successful (related with lead managers).
Absolutely! People have been too innocent for too long...But to be honest investor awareness is still very low..If investors were cognizant of every fishy activity, they would first que up outside those PSBs (like they did at the time of demonetization) and protest against them using the tax payer''s money for incessant recapitalisation...
That''s correct...I also believe that the loss of confidence in the entire system and uncertainty of policies would weigh on such issues going forward... To instill confidence, the policymakers may put some fair practice code in place. For instance Do Not allow companylies known to have engaged in a fraudulent activity and been suspended from the market for that, operate as registrars / LMs or be authorized to process investor''s KYCs ....
Also some KYR <--- Know Your Registrar type of declaration should be made available to all the prospective investor''s consideration.. .
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February 18, 2018 11:33:38 AM
IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
Asking PE > 30 and PB > 7 is of course very high.
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February 18, 2018 11:08:13 AM
IPO Guru (1500+ Posts, 700+ Likes)
@ Anarchist. I agree with your view. Other important factor is the size of company. HG Infra is only 10% of the size of Dilip Buildcon as far as sales and net profit are concerned. So it is irrelevant to compare both of them.
Those figures about the P/E ratios are utterly misleading. Most of those archetypal construction firms have clocked a robust growth in earnings / margin and the EPS in the last few quarters. So the TTM P/E of Dilip Buildcon is only 21while that of KNR is about 18, JKIL trades at 23 P/E and PNC at about 24.
LMs are clearly trying to compare the present of one company with the past of the others to paint a rosy picture ...A careful inspection of other aspects must be carried out before taking any investment decisions in this era of frauds and deception.
TOTAL LONG TERM DEBT IS RS.113 CRORE AND SHORT TERM DEBT IS RS.142 CRORE. COMPANY COLLECTING 300 CRORE FRESH CAPITAL TO RETIRE DEBT. AFTER THE ISSUE DEBT WILL SUBSTANTIALLY REDUCE. 2017 EPS 9.87 SEP.2018 5.42 IT TRANSLATES INTO FULL YEAR IT BECOMES ALMOST EPS. IS RS.11. HENCE IT COMING AROUND 25 PE. IT IS NOT HIGH PRICED IPO. DILIP BUILDCON 33 PE KNR 37 PE PNC INFRA 41 PE J.KUMAR 24 PE SADBHAV 36 PE. ITS ORDER BOOK IS RS.3,700 CRORE. ONLY THING WE HAVE TO LOOK IS HOW QIB SUBSCRIBING THE ISSUE. IF QIB GETS GOOD RESPONSE WE CAN CONSIDER THE ISSUE.